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FRACTAL MARKET HYPOTHESIS
What is the Fractal Market Hypothesis?
A framework for thinking about investors, information, and the coexistence of different time horizons.
FRACTAL RESEARCH
Better questions. Deeper context.
Plain-English research notes on market structure, time horizons, and the limits of quantitative analysis. Understand the ideas before interpreting the numbers.
Initial educational drafts, prepared September 6, 2026. These are explanatory articles, not peer-reviewed findings or validated investment strategies.
GO TO THE ORIGINAL SOURCES
Mandelbrot. Peters. The evidence between.
Seven annotated scientific papers and two foundational books, with supporting findings, methodological cautions and a comparison of the two perspectives.
A price pattern starts a question. Evidence, costs and risk determine what can follow.
Conceptual artwork · not market dataMARKET REGIMES
Why market time horizons matter
The same price can support different interpretations at different scales.
PERSISTENCE
Understanding the Hurst exponent
What a scaling estimate can suggest, and why it cannot be read as a trading signal.
MARKET REGIMES
Trending and mean-reverting markets
Why direction, persistence, and reversion are different claims.
LIQUIDITY
Why liquidity can disappear during stress
Displayed depth, trading intentions, and executable capacity are not the same thing.
VOLATILITY
Volatility is not the whole risk picture
Why the magnitude of price movement and the structure of a market ask different questions.
QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH
What a single indicator leaves out
Use familiar indicators with clearer questions and better context.
PORTFOLIO RISK
Multi-horizon analysis for risk research
A practical framework for comparing windows without pretending to eliminate uncertainty.
FRACTAL MARKET HYPOTHESIS
Fractal markets and efficient markets
Two perspectives on information and market behavior, without a false winner.
QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH
Why backtests can mislead
Timing, revised data, missing evidence, and the gap between simulation and execution.
SEE THE MARKET IN CONTEXT
A better starting point
for your market research.
Help shape the next generation of multi-horizon intelligence.
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